The S&P 500: Q4 Strength or Election Risk? The stock market's performance in the fourth quarter has a reputation for being active, and 2026 is shaping up to be no exception.
As investors approach the midterm elections, they are bracing themselves for potential volatility, but history suggests that this could also be a buying opportunity. Since 1937, the S&P 500 has averaged a 9.
2% return during midterm years, compared to a 13. 3% average in non midterm years.